Forex Scalping Strategy
August 23, 2009Forex Scalping Strategy
Urban Towers Scalping Strategy
Indicators : Blue MA
Time Frame : 15min
Description : During a trend, when the market retraces to the blue MA with at least 3 consecutive lower highs (3 towers), we enter at the break of the high of the last high. Ok let me explain in details one by one.
Steps to Follow :
- Price is above the blue MA trend is up
- Price is below the blue MA trend is down
- Market retraces towards the blue MA with 3 consecutive lower highs (in a uptrend)
- At the break of the high of the last candle, we enter long (in a uptrend)
Trade Example
Alright, what do we know right off the bat by looking at this. We know the market is in a uptrend because the market is above the blue MA. The market retraced to the blue line with 3 consecutive lower highs (3 towers) as we can see the red candles above. Next, we entered long at the break of the high of the last retracement candle - which in this case is 3rd tower as we can see above
Now here is a example of a “no good trade”.
this example, the market was in a uptrend, it did a 1, 2, 3 tower retrace but it never had a breakout on the high of the 3rd tower, in fact, the market continued down and changed to a down trend. This example is to show that this strategy helps avoid many fake trades.
--- SBJ ---- by ; Navin, UrbanFx ------
Forex Trading System - ADX Indicator
Forex ADX
Trading with ADX indicator involves the following signals:
ADX staying below 20 level — there is no trend or the trend is weak.
ADX moving above 20 level — trend is strong.
ADX passing 40 level — trend is extreme.
ADX value rising — trend is going stronger, falling — trend is weakening.
+DI stays on top of -DI — uptrend is in place.
-DI stays on top of +DI — downtrend is in place.
Two DI cross — trend is changing.
Details
The Average Directional Index (ADX) depicts a presence or absence of a trend. ADX advices on the strength of the dominant forces that move market prices here and now.
In other words, ADX advices on trend tendencies: whether the trend is going to continue and strengthen or it is about to lose its positions.
The author of Average Directional Index J. Welles Wilder considers his ADX indicator as a primary achievement; and only because signals given by ADX are not an easy to take a grasp of from the first look, many Forex traders avoid using ADX in favor of more visually comprehensive indicators.
How to interpret ADX
ADX indicator has 2 lines: ADX itself (white), +DI (green) and -DI (red).
Traders then need to draw a horizontal line at the level of 20.
All readings of ADX which are below 20 suggest a weak and unclear trend, while readings above 20 indicate that a trend has picked up.
That is, basically, the simplest explanation of the purpose of ADX. ADX allows Forex traders to determine whether the trend is strong or weak and thus choose and appropriate strategy to trade with: a trend following strategy or a strategy fit to consolidation market periods with no significant price changes.
There is also additional line to be added to ADX indicator window - at 40 level.
How to trade with ADX
Trading with ADX looks as follows:
If ADX is traded below 20 - there is no trend or the trend is weak, thus a non-trend-following strategies should be used, otherwise losses may occur as a result of false signals and whip-saws taking place. An example of non-trend-following method is channel trading.
If ADX is traded above 20 but below 40, it is time to apply trend following methods. An example would be: Forex trading Moving averages or or trading with Parabolic SAR indicator.
When ADX reaches 40 level, it suggests an overbought/oversold (depending on the trend) situation on the market and it is time to protect some profits of at least move Stop loss order to a break even.
When ADX passes 40 level, it is a good time to begin collecting profits gradually scaling out of the trades on rallies and sell-offs and protecting remaining positions with trailing stops.
ADX -/+ DI lines are used for spotting entry signals. All -/+ DI crossovers are disregarded while ADX remains below 20. Once ADX peaks above 20 a buy signal occur when +DI (green) crosses upwards and above -DI (red). A sell signal will be the opposite: -DI would cross +DI downwards.
If after a newly created signal another opposite crossover happens within a short period of time, the original signal should be disregarded and position protected soon or closed.
ADX indicator is never traded alone, but rather in combination with other indicators and tools. ADX indicator most of the time gives much later signals comparing to faster reacting moving averages crossover or Stochastic, for example, however, reliability of ADX indicator is much higher than for other indicators in traders' toolkit, which makes it a valuable tool for many Forex traders.
And just one more idea to test out:
When ADX rises above 20 for the first time and then goes flat for some time, there is believed to be a new trend being born and the reason for ADX being currently flat is because market reacts to this new trend formation by making first initial correction. During this correction it is a good time to initiate new orders.
Forex Aroon Oscillator
Trading with Aroon Oscillator involves the following signals:
Aroon Oscillator line above the zero — suggestion of a bullish market.
Aroon Oscillator line below zero — a bearish market.
The further the Oscillator line is from Zero level, the stronger the trend.
When values are near Zero line, the market is trending nowhere.
Details
The idea behind Aroon Oscillator
Aroon oscillator is based on Aroon Indicator. Aroon Oscillator is a trend-following indicator that illustrates the strength of a current trend and its potentials to last.
How to interpret Aroon indicator
An oscillator that oscillate between -100 and 100.
It oscillates around zero line, defining times when AroonUp and AroonDown lines of Aroon Indicator cross each other.
Aroon Oscillator Formula
Aroon Oscillator = AroonUp - AroonDown.
Aroon Forex charts example
Conclusion
The positive value of Aroon Oscillator indicates an uptrend, while the negative value indicates a downtrend. The higher the absolute value of Aroon Oscillator, the stronger the trend.
Forex Chande Momentum Oscillator
The Chande momentum oscillator is calculated within preset time interval by the following formulas:
diff = Pi - Pi-1,
where Pi -the price (usually closing price) of the current period;
Pi-1 -the price (usually closing price) of the previous period;
If diff > 0, then cmo1i = diff, cmo2i = 0.
If diff < cmo2i =" -diff," cmo1i =" 0." sum1 =" Sum(cmo1," sum2 =" Sum(cmo2," cmo =" ((sum1-sum2)/(sum1+sum2))" style="font-style: italic;">The CMO Oscillator basic methods of using are
- As the indicator of tend. The sell operations are performed when CMO of the short period crosses the CMO of the long period. Purchase operations are performed when CMO of the long period crosses the CMO of the short period.
- The standard method of CMO interpretation is looking for overselling/overbuying. Overselling occurs if value is under -5. Overbuying occurs when the value overcomes +50 point. The aforesaid figures are similar to the 70/30 level of RSI Indicator. 
The Chande Momentum indicator is a momentum oscillator. This oscillator can be used as a trading signal in two various ways.
The first method is to purchase when the oscillator crosses above its MA line and to sell when the oscillator crosses below its MA line. The second is to measure overbought or oversold levels for a certain currency.
The Chande Momentum indicator is built using the sum over a certain period of price changes on up days, sum (high-low) up, and the sum over the same period of prices on down days, sum (high-low), down. An exponential this line's moving average is afterwards overlaid upon the oscillator as a signal line. The oscillator needs two parameters: the period for the moving average and the period when the price ranges will be summarized.
----- SBJ ---- by; ForexRealm ------
Forex ; True and false Trendline Breakouts
When price breaks through a trend line, how can we tell whether it is a true or a false break? Well, we can't tell or predict until we see it later on. But, we can analyze what price has been doing prior to this breakout in order to form our own opinion and bias, and either pay attention to the breakout or disregard it.
We can always go back and look at waves pattern, or simply, whether price was making Lower Lows (LL), Lower Highs(LH), Higher Highs (HH) etc..?
Let's look at the next two screen shots:
(The market was in a downtrend. We drew a trend line connecting first two tops.
Price was obeying the line, but then at some point (where I put a yellow question mark), price breaks the trend line and closes above it.
How can we know at that moment whether we could trust this breakout or not?
The simplest and popular method is to wait till price returns back to test the strength of the broken trend line again. Then, if it holds, traders would say that a breakout is confirmed and enter either somewhere near the test point or when price advances through the earlier established breakout mark.
Here is a quick example (I drew the red candles myself to illustrate the point):
After the break of a trend line price returns, tests the line again, finds support and, as a result, goes up. Yellow dotted line indicates the point of entry with a Buy order.
BUT, this kind of re-tests don't happen all the time. Sometimes price would just break the line and advance further without looking back. What to do then?
This is why I like to look back at older data to learn what happened prior to the breakout.
What can we see on the first example (first screen shot above)?
Price was consistently making Lower Lows. But, most importantly, prior to
breaking a trend line, price made another Lower Low, telling us that Sellers were still strong and were able to push the price down. Based on this, we can say that this particular breakout that we were questioning cannot be "trusted". (I use the word "trusted", because whether the breakout was valid or not we will only learn later).
Now, let's look at the next example below:
Let's start form the beginning: price is making Higher Highs and we draw our red trend line.
At some point later the red trend line gets broken. Can we trust it? The answer is "no, we can't", because we still can see a higher high, which means that buyers were still able to push the price higher.
Few candles later price is bottoming out, attempts another up-move, but fails and puts a Lower High this time.
That's nothing else but a trigger that bulls are weakening and either one of the trend lines (solid or dashed in brown) which you'll be able to identify will become the point of truth: if it gets broken - the price is very likely to move lower.
That's it. A simple method, which might help you to judge about most likely outcomes of the trend line breakouts.
Remember, that in the uptrend you need to take into consideration only Swing Highs, in the down trend and for downtrend trend lines - only Swing Lows.
Posted by The Great Minds. Posted In : Forex Tools
